The 2016 race that began 595 days ago and involved 22 major candidates is expected to end Tuesday as millions of voters head to the polls across the U.S. to cast their ballots for president, vice president, their representatives in Congress and other elected officials.
On Monday, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, a former secretary of state and former first lady, held a small 4-percentage-point
lead over GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump, according to a CBS News poll measuring the state of the race before the polls opened. Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Virginia, is Clinton’s vice presidential nominee and Republican Gov. Mike Pence is Trump’s running mate. Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are two
independent candidates who will appear on some or all ballots. Evan McMullin is another independent candidate who could perform well in his home state of Utah.
In order to win the presidency, a candidate must
win 270 electoral votes — a majority of the 538 electors. CBS News will be keeping an eye on 13 battleground states: Arizona, Colorado, Florida,
Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire,
North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and
12:36 a.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins Nevada.
11:36 p.m. ET CBS News projects wins Florida and Iowa.
11:17 p.m. ET CBS News projects Trump wins Utah and Clinton wins Oregon.
11:11 p.m. ET CBS News projects Trump has the edge in Wisconsin.
11:04 p.m. CBS News projects Trump wins North Carolina.
11:04 p.m. CBS News projects Clinton wins Hawaii.
11:00 p.m. CBS News projects Clinton wins California, Trump wins Idaho
CBS News also projects Washington and Oregon
10:42 p.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins Colorado.
10:31 p.m. ET CBS News projects Trump wins Ohio.
10:29 p.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins Virginia.
10:27 p.m. ET While CBS News hasn’t called Ohio yet, Trump is performing well in the Cleveland
— CBS News (@CBSNews) November 9, 2016
10:20 p.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins New Mexico.
The list of presidents who have won the White House without winning their home state is short, but it could get one name longer tonight.
CBS News has projected that Donald Trump will lose his home state of New York to Hillary Clinton.
That means if he wins, he’ll take the White House without the support of his state of residency.
Only three candidates have done that before.
James Polk lost his home state of Tennessee to Henry Clay in 1844, and Woodrow Wilson lost New Jersey to Charles Evan Hughes in 1916.
Richard Nixon is the third candidate to lose at home, but win the country. He lost New York in 1968, his state of residency at the time.
Most people think of California when they think of
Nixon, which is the state he represented in the
House and Senate. He even ran a failed bid for governor there. But when he lost the governor’s
race in 1962, he moved to New York to work for a law firm. When he won the presidency in 1968, that was his legal home.
— CBS News’ Cydney Adams
10:09 p.m. ET CBS News projects Trump wins Missouri.
10:06 p.m. ET CBS News’ latest Electoral vote tally is Clinton with 104 and Trump with 140. A
candidate must win 270 electoral votes to win the
White House. No major battleground state has been called yet.
10:03 p.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins Connecticut.
CBS News projects Trump wins Louisiana.
CBS News projects Trump wins Montana
CBS News projects:
VA – Toss-up
NC – Toss-up
OH – Leans Trump
FL – Toss-up
NH – Toss-up
PA – Toss-up
WI – Toss-up
9:18 p.m. ET Exit poll results from key battleground states:
Clinton is getting strong support from minority voters in Florida. Overall, she is beating Trump by
71 percent to 22 percent among all non-white
voters. Trump’s margin among white voters is 62
to 34 percent. Clinton is getting 84 percent of the
vote from black voters and 62 percent from Hispanic voters. Among non-Cuban Hispanics, Clinton is winning 70 percent to 25 percent for Trump. Black women in Florida are supporting Clinton more strongly than black men with 88 percent of black women supporting her compared to 80 percent of black men.
White voters in Florida had different views about the fairness of the U.S. criminal justice system with 49 percent saying that it treats all people fairly while 39 percent said that blacks are treated unfairly. Among white voters who said that all people are treated fairly, 81 percent voted for Trump. Clinton received 61 percent of those voters who said that blacks are treated unfairly.
Sixty-eight percent of both men and women said
that Trump’s treatment of women bothered them
a lot or some. Among women who said this, Clinton won by a 75 to 35 percent margin. Among men who said that that Trump’s treatment of women bothered them, Clinton is ahead by a much smaller 54 to 35 percent margin.
Clinton is running very strongly among younger
voters. She is beating Trump 54 percent to 38 percent among voters under 45 although Gary Johnson is winning 7 percent of those voters.
Trump is leading by a 53 to 44 percent margin among voters over 45.
Overall, Trump is winning among white voters by
60 percent to 35 percent for Clinton. This varies a
great deal by gender and education. Trump is
getting 70 percent of white male voters with no
college education. Trump and Clinton are running
equally among white women with college degrees.
There is no evidence of Republican women defecting from Trump in North Carolina. He is getting 93 percent of Republican men’s votes and 91 percent of Republican women. Among Democratic identifiers, 92 percent of women are voting for Clinton compared to 88 percent of men.
Only 8 percent of North Carolina voters said they
made up their minds in the last week, but Trump
won 49 percent of their votes compared to 35 for
Clinton and 13 percent for Johnson.
60 percent of North Carolina voters said that immigrants today do more to help the country and 70 percent of them voted for Clinton. 29 percent said that immigrants do more to hurt the country and 82 percent of them voted for Trump.
So far it looks like Republicans are strongly supporting Trump. We are seeing 90 percent plus
support for him among Republicans in the states
we’ve looked at so far. One surprising pattern is that support for Clinton among black men is in the low 80’s. Among black women Clinton is getting over 90 percent.
Trump has the majority of the support of male
voters in Ohio (55 percent Trump vs 38 percent Clinton). In 2012, male support was 52 percent
Romney vs 45 percent Obama. Clinton’s support
among women (55 percent) is similar to the
support Obama received in 2012 (55 percent).
Looking at the vote by race is similar to what was
seen in 2012. Trump’s support from white voters is similar to the support seen in 2012 for Romney (Clinton 38 percent vs. Trump 57 percent as
compared to 2012: Obama 41 percent vs. Romney 57 percent.
The majority (89 percent) of black voters in
Virginia are voting for Clinton, a bit less than the
96 percent level of support that Obama had in 2012.
Trump continues to see support among white
non-college voters, with almost 60 percent voting for him in Virginia.
Union households are split between Clinton (44
percent) and Trump (49 percent) whereas is 2012 Obama garnered 60 percent support amongst this group.
— CBS News poll analysts Stanley Feldman and
9:13 p.m. ET Here is more from exit polling in Pennsylvania, which is currently a tossup between Clinton and Trump:
The gender gap is alive and well among voters in
Pennsylvania, according to exit polling: Males are
supporting Trump (54 percent) while females are
supporting Clinton (58 percent).
Among white voters in Pennsylvania, over half
are voting for Trump. Clinton has the majority support among black voters in the state (93
percent). She also has more support among the white voters with a college degree (55 percent),
while white voters without a college degree are more split in Pennsylvania (Clinton 46 percent, Trump 50 percent).
Young voters (18- to 29-year-olds) support
Clinton 55 percent, but that support is not as high
as the 63 percent who supported Obama in 2012.
Among voters who say that they decided who to vote for in the last week, over half voted for Trump.
Trump is getting 90 percent of Republican men’s
votes. He has a slight dropoff with Republican
women, getting 85 percent of their votes. Among
Democratic identifiers, 91 percent of women are
voting for Clinton compared to 85 percent of men.
This again points to the gender gap in Pennsylvania.
Among the voters who say they strongly favor
their candidate, their support is split between Clinton and Trump. Among those who say they dislike the other candidate, 46 percent support Trump as compared with 39 percent voting for Clinton.
–CBS News poll analyst Melissa Herrmann
9:09 p.m. Donald Trump thinks “it’s sad” that former President George W. Bush didn’t vote for
“I think it’s sad, you know,” Trump told radio host Howie Carr. “When I see George Bush do that, and look I was very critical of him for getting us into Iraq, which was obviously a horrible decision, and getting out the way Obama got us out was a horrible way to get out too — the combination. I don’t think it has any impact,
Former rival Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-South Carolina, also didn’t vote for Trump, choosing instead to cast his vote for independent candidate Evan McMullin, which Trump said was “insane.”
“It’s absolutely insane. All you’re doing is giving up the Supreme Court,” Trump said. “I beat him very badly in the primary, people forget that. He was easy pickins’. Rather than manning up he goes and does a thing like that.”
Trump declined to say what he planned to do if, as Carr put it, the results “go the wrong way tonight.”
“We’ll see what happens. You know, there are
some areas being seriously contested, you know
that,” Trump said. “And we’re gonna see what happens. Hopefully, I won’t have to. I mean, it’s –
the numbers are gonna start to come out pretty soon and we’ll see what happens but hopefully I won’t have to bother. We’ll – we’ll have maybe a victory and maybe a big one. We’ll see. We’re doing very well, I hear, in Florida – very, very well in a lot of different states. Ohio, in Iowa, and so we’re going to have to see what the numbers are.”
He also denied that his campaign took away his Twitter access, which was reported by the New York Times a few days ago.
9:07 p.m. ET CBS News projects Trump wins in Arkansas.
9 p.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins New York.
CBS News also projects Trump wins Texas, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming.
Wisconsin, Arizona, Colorado, Michigan and Minnesota are toss-ups.
8:30 p.m. ET CBS News projects Arkansas leans toward Donald Trump.
CBS News projects Donald Trump wins in Alabama.
8:11 p.m. ET CBS News projects Trump wins in Mississippi.
8:10 p.m. ET The photo of Donald Trump peeking over at his wife Melania’s ballot has gone viral.
The Trumps visited a Midtown Manhattan polling place Tuesday morning to cast their votes. In a moment caught on camera, Donald Trump stole a
few peeks at his wife’s ballot — and now the internet is stealing a few laughs at his expense.
8:08 p.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins in Rhode Island.
8:05 p.m. ET CBS News projects Clinton wins in Illinois.
8:00 p.m. ET Polls are now closed in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, D.C., Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri,
New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Tennessee.
CBS News projects Clinton wins in Massachusetts,
Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and D.C.
CBS News also projects Trump wins in Tennessee and Oklahoma.
CBS News projects New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Florida are all tossups.
7:56 p.m. ET CBS News projects Trump wins South Carolina.
7:49 p.m. ET Here are more details from the national exit polls:
Both candidates are viewed unfavorably by a majority of voters. More than half of voters (54 percent) have an unfavorable view of Hillary
Clinton, and 61 percent have an unfavorable view of Donald Trump.
More than 60 percent of voters were bothered a
lot/some by Hillary Clinton’s use of private email
while Secretary of State. More than 70 percent of
voters were bothered a lot or some by Donald
Trump’s treatment of women.
Trump is currently winning the change voters.
The vast majority of voters who chose “can bring
needed change” as the most important candidate
quality support Trump (82 percent, versus 13
percent for Clinton). Meanwhile, Clinton is performing well among those who prioritize experience and judgment. Voters who chose “has the right experience” as the most important candidate quality overwhelmingly support Clinton (91 percent, versus 7 percent for Trump). About two-thirds of voters who chose “good judgment” as the most important candidate quality support Clinton, 24 percent support Trump.
Trump is seen as better able to handle the economy, while Clinton has the advantage when considering foreign policy.
Similar to pre-election polls, more see Clinton as
qualified and having the right temperament.
About half of voters said that Clinton is qualified to be president (53 percent), as compared to Trump (37 percent). Similarly, over half of voters said that Clinton has the temperament to be president, whereas only 34 percent said the same of Trump.
Neither candidate is seen as honest and trustworthy. Almost two thirds (60 percent) say Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, and 65 percent say the same about Trump.
–CBS News poll analyst Melissa Herrmann
7:45 p.m. ET Hillary Clinton is spending the evening with her family at the Peninsula Hotel in
New York City’s Midtown, according to a Clinton
spokesperson. Later tonight, she will hold an election night party nearby at the Javits Center in New York City.
–CBS News’ Hannah Fraser-Chanpong
7:42 p.m. ET As we wait for polls to close in an additional 16 states (plus the District of Columbia)
at 8 p.m. ET, here are some more exit poll results from Virginia:
The majority of female voters in Virginia say they voted for Clinton (57 percent, versus 38 percent
for Trump) while males favored Trump (49
percent for Trump, versus 44 percent for Clinton).
The vote among whites, according to exit poll results, favors Trump (56% percent), while Clinton gets the vast majority of support among blacks (89 percent). Of white non-college graduates in Virginia, support is split: Clinton wins 50 percent and Trump takes 45 percent. Among white college graduates, Clinton has more early voters (56 percent, versus 37 percentfor Trump).
Among Independents, the vote is split: Clinton and Trump each win 44 percent.
Clinton gets the majority of support from the younger Virginia voters (18- to 29-year-olds), with 53 percent of the exit poll voters favoring Clinton (versus 34 percent for Trump).
–CBS News poll analyst Melissa Herrmann
7:30 p.m. ET Polls are now closed in Ohio, North Carolina and West Virginia .
CBS News projects Donald Trump wins West Virginia. Ohio is a tossup, and in North Carolina, Clinton has an edge over Trump. In Virginia, Clinton now also has an edge.
— CBS News (@CBSNews) November 9, 2016
7:00 p.m. ET Polls are now closed in six states: Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia.
CBS News projects Donald Trump wins in Indiana
and Kentucky, and Hillary Clinton wins in Vermont.
Georgia edges Trump and South Carolina leans
6:40 p.m. ET No one ever said democracy was cheap.
Americans who are running for federal elective
offices spent more than ever — about $6.8 billion — in that pursuit, including the nastiest presidential election in recent memory, between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. That’s more than what consumers spend on cereal ($6 billion), pet grooming ($5.4 billion) and legal marijuana ($5.4 billion).
The nonprofit Center for Responsive Politics estimates spending on the Clinton-Trump contest at more than $2.65 billion, actually down a bit from $2.76 billion in 2012 when Democratic incumbent Barack Obama defeated Republican challenger Mitt Romney.
–CBS News’ Jonathan Berr
6:21 p.m. ET Ohio Governor and former presidential candidate John Kasich is wasting no
time after Election Day — he plans to deliver a
speech on his vision for the future of the GOP just
two days after voters cast their ballots, the
Cincinnati Enquirer reported Tuesday.
Kasich refused to back Trump’s candidacy and
did not attend the Republican convention, though
it was held in Cleveland. The Enquirer reported
that Kasich is likely to give the speech even if
Trump wins. Kasich voted for John McCain, who was the GOP nominee in 2008.
6:06 p.m. ET Here are more findings from the national early exit polls and how voters feel
about several top issues:
Seventy-one percent of voters say that illegal
immigrants working in the U.S. should be offered
a chance to apply for legal status, while 25
percent say they should be deported. Almost 9 in
10 Clinton voters want illegal immigrants offered
a chance to apply for legal status, while Trump voters are split with 49 percent supporting legal status and 45 percent saying they should be deported.
There is more division over building a wall along
the border with Mexico: 54 percent of voters
oppose the wall and 40 percent support it. Eighty-
eight percent of Clinton voters oppose building a
wall, while three quarters of Trump voters support it.
Voters also have very different views on the
effects of international trade on U.S. jobs: 41
percent of voters say that trade takes away jobs,
39 percent say that it creates more U.S. jobs, and
11 percent say that it has no effect. Clinton voters
are more likely to believe that trade creates jobs while Trump voters say that it takes away U.S. jobs.
–CBS News poll analyst Stanley Feldman
5:30 p.m. ET Some early state-level exit polling is coming in as well.
In Georgia, Florida, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia the majority of voters said the most important issue facing the country was the economy. When voters were asked, finding a president who can bring needed change is the most important quality when deciding their vote for president.
Here, for example, is a breakdown of voters’ most
important candidate qualities in Ohio:
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